Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.088096 0.098133 0.108464 0.119864 0.132064 0.144703 0.158759
2025-01-05 0.071686 0.086722 0.103041 0.121944 0.143112 0.165963 0.192376
2025-01-12 0.059751 0.077915 0.098583 0.123532 0.152524 0.184859 0.223349
2025-01-19 0.050285 0.070332 0.094148 0.123959 0.159712 0.200675 0.250610
2025-01-26 0.047149 0.069696 0.097391 0.133014 0.176734 0.227799 0.291092
2025-02-02 0.041545 0.065153 0.095186 0.134909 0.184795 0.244171 0.318958
2025-02-09 0.037336 0.061869 0.094096 0.137790 0.193777 0.261500 0.347965
2025-02-16 0.032629 0.057327 0.090876 0.137525 0.198507 0.273451 0.370400
2025-02-23 0.031211 0.057252 0.093495 0.144799 0.212809 0.297305 0.407595
2025-03-02 0.029490 0.056510 0.095039 0.150545 0.225125 0.318757 0.442010
2025-03-09 0.025530 0.051924 0.090805 0.148125 0.226498 0.326211 0.458884
2025-03-16 0.021716 0.047121 0.085865 0.144369 0.225798 0.330796 0.472001
2025-03-23 0.020276 0.046208 0.086791 0.149150 0.237059 0.351496 0.506551
2025-03-30 0.018609 0.044752 0.086823 0.152674 0.246751 0.370422 0.539282
2025-04-06 0.016824 0.042878 0.086059 0.154954 0.254732 0.387205 0.569484
2025-04-13 0.014907 0.040502 0.084302 0.155617 0.260377 0.400900 0.595789
2025-04-20 0.015071 0.042135 0.089105 0.166258 0.280285 0.433907 0.647676
2025-04-27 0.013691 0.040537 0.088443 0.168492 0.288201 0.450830 0.678581
2025-05-04 0.012636 0.039459 0.088554 0.171858 0.297739 0.470009 0.712607
2025-05-11 0.011115 0.037169 0.086406 0.171553 0.301863 0.481785 0.736859
2025-05-18 0.011011 0.038001 0.089755 0.180016 0.318931 0.511484 0.785264
2025-05-25 0.010658 0.038214 0.091976 0.186687 0.333415 0.537728 0.829219
2025-06-01 0.009111 0.035370 0.088456 0.183879 0.333664 0.544117 0.846385